(DCWatchdog.com) – In great news for Donald Trump and his supporters, the former president is forecasted to secure a significant victory in the pivotal swing state of Pennsylvania, as indicated by recent polling data.
A new survey shows Trump leading President Joe Biden by a margin of four percentage points among Pennsylvania voters, with Trump garnering 49% support compared to Biden’s 45%.
This data was released by the Pennsylvania chapter of the American Association of Retired Persons (AARP), cited by The Daily Wire.
The poll also reveals that Trump’s advantage is more pronounced among voters aged 50 and above, who constituted over half of the electorate in the state during the 2020 elections.
Among this demographic, Trump leads by a substantial 10% margin, capturing 52% of their support against Biden’s 42%.
Bill Johnston Walsh, the state director of AARP Pennsylvania, emphasized the importance of this age group.
“Pennsylvania voters over age 50 are a critical voting bloc that all candidates are competing for in this election,” he said.
“Pennsylvanians of all political stripes want leaders to protect Social Security and provide support for family caregivers. If candidates want to win, they should pay attention to the issues that matter to Pennsylvanians ages 50-plus,” Walsh added.
The poll further highlighted that a significant majority of older voters in Pennsylvania consider the candidates’ stances on Social Security, Medicare, and prescription drugs vital to their voting decisions.
Approximately 80% of voters over 50 stated that a candidate’s position on Social Security is a key factor in their choice.
In addition to his lead among older voters, Trump also has a substantial 10-point advantage over Biden among independent voters in the state, according to the same poll.
Other polling data corroborates Trump’s lead in Pennsylvania. According to an aggregation by RealClearPolitics, Trump has an approximate two-point lead over Biden in the state.
A victory for Trump in Pennsylvania would significantly constrict Biden’s potential routes to reelection.
In 2020, Trump narrowly lost Pennsylvania to Biden by just over 80,000 votes from a total of more than 6.8 million ballots cast.
However, Trump had previously won Pennsylvania in 2016, marking the first Republican presidential victory in the state since 1988.
On a national scale, Trump currently leads Biden by a slight margin of just over one percentage point, as reported by RealClearPolitics’ average of national polls.
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